The incidence of Postoperative Cognitive Dysfunction (POCD) varies with time after surgery, particularly among elderly patients. At one week post-surgery, the incidence is approximately 30%, reducing to 10-13% at three months, and further decreasing to about 1% at one year. These figures primarily concern non-cardiac surgical patients, as the cognitive effects following cardiac surgery are well-documented, with factors such as cardiopulmonary bypass contributing significantly to cognitive decline. Although POCD can affect individuals of any age, it tends to have more severe consequences in elderly patients.

Research comparing the prevalence of POCD in elderly surgical patients to age-matched non-surgical controls indicates a 3% incidence of POCD in the general population both at one week and three months. Another study suggests that cognitive decline in older individuals might occur similarly to POCD, regardless of whether they undergo surgery or experience major illness. Despite acknowledging some limitations in their research, these findings challenge the distinct existence of POCD. Critics of these studies argue that the conclusions rely heavily on comparisons with age-matched controls who are not similarly comorbid, as the surgical groups studied for POCD typically are, due to their medical conditions necessitating surgery. This discrepancy introduces potential bias, as age-matched controls do not represent an equally comorbid group.
Addressing these issues in research is complex, and clarity about POCD will likely only emerge from large prospective trials that not only involve surgical patients but also match these groups with disease-matched controls. Such studies would provide a more robust evidence base to either confirm or deny the existence of POCD as a distinct clinical phenomenon.